Original Research
23 January 2024

Gene Therapy Versus Common Care for Eligible Individuals With Sickle Cell Disease in the United States: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Publication: Annals of Internal Medicine
Volume 177, Number 2
Visual Abstract. Gene Therapy Versus Common Care for Eligible Individuals With Sickle Cell Disease in the United States
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently approved 2 genetic therapies for sickle cell disease. Both therapies increase the production of nonsickling red blood cells, either fetal hemoglobin or a gene therapy–derived hemoglobin similar to hemoglobin A. In addition, both therapies require collection of a patient’s stem cells, modification of the cells in the laboratory, high-dose chemotherapy to remove existing bone marrow cells, and a single-dose infusion of the patient’s modified stem cells. This article uses 2 different cost-effectiveness models to estimate whether these therapies provide enough value to justify their high costs.

Abstract

Background:

Sickle cell disease (SCD) and its complications contribute to high rates of morbidity and early mortality and high cost in the United States and African heritage community.

Objective:

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for SCD and its value-based prices (VBPs).

Design:

Comparative modeling analysis across 2 independently developed simulation models (University of Washington Model for Economic Analysis of Sickle Cell Cure [UW-MEASURE] and Fred Hutchinson Institute Sickle Cell Disease Outcomes Research and Economics Model [FH-HISCORE]) using the same databases.

Data Sources:

Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services claims data, 2008 to 2016; published literature.

Target Population:

Persons eligible for gene therapy.

Time Horizon:

Lifetime.

Perspective:

U.S. health care sector and societal.

Intervention:

Gene therapy versus common care.

Outcome Measures:

Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), equity-informed VBPs, and price acceptability curves.

Results of Base-Case Analysis:

At an assumed $2 million price for gene therapy, UW-MEASURE and FH-HISCORE estimated ICERs of $193 000 per QALY and $427 000 per QALY, respectively, under the health care sector perspective. Corresponding estimates from the societal perspective were $126 000 per QALY and $281 000 per QALY. The difference in results between models stemmed primarily from considering a slightly different target population and incorporating the quality-of-life (QOL) effects of splenic sequestration, priapism, and acute chest syndrome in the UW model. From a societal perspective, acceptable (>90% confidence) VBPs ranged from $1 million to $2.5 million depending on the use of alternative effective metrics or equity-informed threshold values.

Results of Sensitivity Analysis:

Results were sensitive to the costs of myeloablative conditioning before gene therapy, effect on caregiver QOL, and effect of gene therapy on long-term survival.

Limitation:

The short-term effects of gene therapy on vaso-occlusive events were extrapolated from 1 study.

Conclusion:

Gene therapy for SCD below a $2 million price tag is likely to be cost-effective when applying a societal perspective at an equity-informed threshold for cost-effectiveness analysis.

Primary Funding Source:

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

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Supplemental Material

Supplement. Supplementary Material

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Information & Authors

Information

Published In

cover image Annals of Internal Medicine
Annals of Internal Medicine
Volume 177Number 2February 2024
Pages: 155 - 164

History

Published online: 23 January 2024
Published in issue: February 2024

Keywords

Authors

Affiliations

The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy & Economics (CHOICE) Institute, Department of Pharmacy; Department of Health Systems and Population Health; and Department of Economics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington (A.B.)
Pharmacy Administration, Department of Clinical Sciences, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin (A.N.W.)
The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy & Economics (CHOICE) Institute, Department of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, and Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences and Division of Respiratory Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (K.M.J.)
Boshen Jiao, PhD, MPH
The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy & Economics (CHOICE) Institute, Department of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, and Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts (B.J.)
Beth Devine, PhD, PharmD, MBA https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9945-6099
The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy & Economics (CHOICE) Institute, Department of Pharmacy, and Department of Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington (B.D.)
Department of Global Pediatric Medicine and Department of Hematology, St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee (J.S.H.)
Staci D. Arnold, MD, MBA, MPH
Aflac Cancer and Blood Disorders Center at Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia (S.D.A.)
Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington, and Clinical Research Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington (M.A.B.)
Scott D. Ramsey, MD, PhD https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5972-8280
Division of Public Health Sciences and Hutchinson Institute for Cancer Outcomes Research, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, and the Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy & Economics (CHOICE) Institute, Department of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, and Pharmacy Administration, Department of Clinical Sciences, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin (S.D.R.)
Disclaimer: The views and conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as representing the official policies of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), either expressed or implied.
Acknowledgment: The authors thank Mark Walters, MD; the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI), especially Nancy DiFronzo, PhD, and Julie Panepinto, MD, MSPH; participants from Emmes; the Cure Sickle Cell Expert Panel; and the Cure Sickle Cell Initiative (NIH/NHLBI) for their feedback. They thank William Kreuter and Lily Li for their excellent programming support.
Financial Support: By the NHLBI Cure Sickle Cell Initiative. This research was funded in part by NIH agreements OT3HL152448 and OT3HL151434. Support for data access and analyses for this research came from the UW Population Health Initiative, the UW Student Technology Fee program, the UW Provost's office, and a Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development research infrastructure grant, P2C HD042828, to the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology at the University of Washington.
Reproducible Research Statement: Study protocol: Available from Dr. Basu (e-mail, [email protected]). Statistical code: Contact Dr. Basu for consultation (e-mail, [email protected]). Data set: The raw data set is available from CMS.
Corresponding Author: Anirban Basu, PhD, School of Pharmacy, University of Washington, 1959 NE Pacific Street, H375Q Box 357631, Seattle, WA 98195; e-mail, [email protected].
Author Contributions: Conception and design: A. Basu, M.A. Bender, B. Devine, K.M. Johnson, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Analysis and interpretation of the data: S.D. Arnold, A. Basu, M.A. Bender, B. Devine, B. Jiao, K.M. Johnson, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Drafting of the article: A. Basu, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: S.D. Arnold, A. Basu, B. Devine, J.S. Hankins, B. Jiao, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Final approval of the article: S.D. Arnold, A. Basu, M.A. Bender, B. Devine, J.S. Hankins, B. Jiao, K.M. Johnson, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Provision of study materials or patients: S.D. Ramsey.
Statistical expertise: A. Basu, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Obtaining of funding: A. Basu, S.D. Ramsey.
Administrative, technical, or logistic support: S.D. Arnold, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
Collection and assembly of data: A. Basu, J.S. Hankins, K.M. Johnson, S.D. Ramsey, A.N. Winn.
This article was published at Annals.org on 23 January 2024.

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Anirban Basu, Aaron N. Winn, Kate M. Johnson, et al. Gene Therapy Versus Common Care for Eligible Individuals With Sickle Cell Disease in the United States: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. Ann Intern Med.2024;177:155-164. [Epub 23 January 2024]. doi:10.7326/M23-1520

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