The ACA should be redesigned to bring the nation closer to universal coverage. The current structure, with its unaffordable premiums for persons who are ineligible for premium subsidies, coverage gaps, and tepid insurer participation, prevents the law from achieving that goal. The following recommendations are intended to encourage enrollment, increase insurer participation, and create more choice and market competition in the individual market and Medicaid program. About one fifth of uninsured persons are undocumented immigrants, a group explicitly barred from purchasing marketplace-based insurance. The ACP supports allowing undocumented immigrants to purchase private insurance using their own funds and calls for increasing funding to health clinics that provide services regardless of insurance status. In addition, many states have yet to expand their Medicaid programs, leaving more than 2 million people in coverage gap limbo. These issues present major barriers to achieving universal coverage.
Reinsurance and Other Market Stabilization Programs
The ACA established risk adjustment, risk corridors, and reinsurance, a 3-pronged mechanism to stabilize premiums, balance risk, and protect against risk selection and adverse selection (
62). The risk adjustment mechanism transfers payments between insurers on the basis of medical claims costs so that insurers with higher-than-expected medical claims receive higher compensation and those with lower-than-expected claims receive less compensation (
62). Risk corridors intend to prevent insurers from setting premiums too high by requiring those with claims lower than a predetermined target to pay into a fund. The funds are then distributed to insurers with claims that are above the target. The reinsurance program provides financial protection for health plans with high-cost enrollees. The risk adjustment program is permanent, but the risk corridors and reinsurance programs ended in 2016. A permanent reinsurance program, as found in the Medicare Part D program, should be created to help stabilize the market and encourage insurer participation. Evidence shows that risk-sharing programs have been effective (
63). Some states have received waivers from CMS to draw federal funding to support state-based reinsurance programs, which have successfully reduced premiums in Alaska, Minnesota, and other states (
64).
4. Sustained funding is needed for dedicated outreach, consumer assistance, and education to promote open enrollment, provide in-person and virtual enrollment assistance, and respond to inquiries from the community.
The ACA was signed into law in 2010. Eight years later, much of the public remains confused about or unaware of its major coverage provisions. The ACA created the Navigator program and other community-based initiatives to provide education, outreach, and enrollment assistance, but the federal government slashed funding for the program in 2017 and 2018 (
65). Nationally, federal funding for Navigators dropped 84% from 2016 to 2018 (
66). The administration also cut funds to advertise open enrollment and shortened the open enrollment period, which may have contributed to declines in rates of marketplace-based plan coverage (
67). In October 2017, just before the 2018 open enrollment period, President Trump declared the law to be “dead” (
68) and news reports predicted “rampant public confusion” before the 2018 open enrollment period (
69).
Millions of persons are eligible for public insurance or subsidized marketplace insurance but remain uninsured, which may partially be the result of a lack of awareness about the availability of affordable coverage options and confusion about the status of the ACA (
70). Insurers and state and federal governments must fund efforts to promote the ACA's coverage programs, especially during open enrollment. State and local health departments also may be able to provide outreach and enrollment assistance (
71,
72). Persons who receive enrollment assistance from a Navigator or other application helper are more likely to obtain coverage than those who do not; therefore, Navigator grants and other outreach and educational initiatives need sustained, sufficient funding to carry out their mission of reducing confusion and expanding understanding of what the law has to offer (
73). Further, resources may be best directed toward persons who are eligible for Medicaid or premium tax credits and CSRs but are not enrolled in coverage (
74). School-based enrollment initiatives and outreach through workplaces, the court system, and non–health-related public benefit programs may be options to reach the remaining uninsured. Survey data show that the volume of television commercials for federally sponsored health insurance is associated with persons shopping for and enrolling in marketplace-based insurance (
75). Television advertising, social media, and other marketing efforts should communicate about open enrollment.
5. Federal and/or state governments should ensure that all individuals enroll in coverage by developing an auto-enrollment program, a penalty for failing to enroll upon eligibility, an individual mandate, or some combination of these approaches. Exemptions for financial hardship and residing in a non–Medicaid expansion state, among others, should be applied.
Critics of the individual mandate argue that it has been ineffective because of a low financial penalty and weak enforcement (
76). An analysis by Frean and colleagues (
77,
78) found that the individual mandate's exemptions and penalties had “little impact on coverage rates” in 2014 and 2015, possibly because of the penalty amount and limited consumer understanding of the mandate, although the mandate may have encouraged persons not subject to the penalty to enroll in coverage to comply with the law. A large majority of enrollees report purchasing coverage to protect against high medical bills or to achieve peace of mind rather than to avoid the individual mandate penalty (
79). Less than 10% of insured adults say they will not keep their insurance in 2019 because of the individual mandate's repeal (
67). Other evidence shows that the individual mandate has increased coverage rates. It may have driven the higher-income unsubsidized population (those with incomes over 400% FPL) to enroll in coverage, suggesting that the policy increased the number of nonelderly persons with insurance “by at least several million in 2016” (
80). An analysis of empirical evidence on the effect of the individual mandate found that mandates increase health insurance enrollment, especially among younger and healthier persons (
81). Stakeholders view the individual mandate as an unpopular but necessary means to encourage enrollment, especially among healthy persons. The CBO estimated that repeal of the individual mandate would result in a 10% increase in average individual market premium costs (
82). One report concluded that if all states implemented a state-level individual mandate, marketplace premiums would fall by nearly 12% on average in 2019 and the number of uninsured would drop by almost 4 million in 2019 and 7.5 million in 2022 (
83).
Alternative mechanisms to spur enrollment should be tested and implemented. An analysis of individual mandate alternatives concluded that auto-enrollment would not achieve as high an insurance coverage rate as a mandate (
84). However, proponents of auto-enrollment cite opt-out 401(k) plans as evidence that it can be an effective way to encourage enrollment. Medicare Part B and D and some Medicaid programs use auto-enrollment (
85). Other potential mechanisms include imposing a late penalty for failing to enroll, similar to the Medicare Part B penalty.
6. The American College of Physicians reaffirms support for Medicaid expansion. All states should fully expand Medicaid eligibility and should not apply financially burdensome premiums or cost-sharing requirements, lock-out periods, benefit cuts, or mandatory work or community engagement policies that have the effect of reducing enrollment among vulnerable individuals.
As outlined in the background section of this paper, expansion of the Medicaid program has resulted in major gains in health care access for millions of persons. However, many states have not expanded their Medicaid program, denying millions of low-income persons the chance to access affordable health care. Further, some states have used the Medicaid waiver process to establish onerous conditions for Medicaid eligibility. Arkansas expanded Medicaid through a private option program that allowed the Medicaid expansion population to enroll in private insurance using Medicaid funding. Access outcomes have been similar to those of Kentucky, which expanded eligibility through the traditional route (
86). Among the most popular waiver proposals is a requirement that certain Medicaid enrollees and potential enrollees work, attend school, or be otherwise engaged in the community. Most nonelderly Medicaid enrollees are already working or would be exempt from work requirements because of disability or other reasons (
87). Most enrollees report that Medicaid coverage enhances their ability to continue working and enables job seekers to look for employment (
88,
89). Some evidence shows that work requirements would have only “modest impacts on job-searching behavior in this population” (
90). Evidence from Arkansas shows that work requirements may have unintended consequences, including disenrolling persons who are working but unable or unaware that they need to report their work status to remain in the program (
91). The ACP recommends that Medicaid expansion be implemented in a way that does not discourage enrollment or cause enrollees to disenroll, delay, or forgo care because of cost (
92).
7. To encourage market competition, Congress should enact legislation to authorize the development of a public insurance plan to ensure enrollees have access to a variety of coverage options in their area. Potentially, the public option could be expanded to serve as a stepping stone to universal coverage.
Insurer participation has decreased in some areas of the country, with 8 states having only 1 insurer offering coverage in 2018. To provide more choice and competition, persons eligible for marketplace-based coverage should have the option of enrolling in a public health insurance program. If proven viable, the public insurance option could potentially be opened to anyone seeking coverage. The Medicare Part D program features a fallback coverage option that triggers when an area does not have at least 1 standalone drug plan and at least 2 drug plans total. Because Part D participation has been robust, the fallback option has not been implemented. To expand options in the health insurance marketplaces, the federal government could establish a fallback plan in areas where 2 or fewer insurers are participating. This might be accomplished by opening enrollment to the Blue Cross Blue Shield Federal Employee Program's standard plan through a marketplace-specific risk pool separate from that of federal employees (
93), or by borrowing aspects of Medicare's structure to build a new public option that conforms to recommendations outlined in the ACP position paper, “A Public Plan Option in a Health Insurance Connector” (
94). The ACP also supports a Medicare buy-in option for persons aged 55 to 64 years (
95).
A proposal introduced in the 115th Congress by Senators Tim Kaine (D-VA) and Michael Bennet (D-CO) would allow people to enroll in the “Medicare X” program, a public option–style marketplace-based insurance offering that uses Medicare's provider network and reimbursement policies but offers a modified benefit package that includes such categories as maternity care and pediatric services (
96). The Medicare Trust Fund would not be affected. Initially, only persons residing in a county with 1 or 2 insurers participating in the individual insurance marketplace would be allowed to enroll; over time, the program would expand to individuals and small businesses in all counties. As currently devised, the proposal might conflict with ACP policy, because, for example, flawed aspects of the Medicare payment structure might be carried over to the Medicare X program.
As an alternative, a Medicaid buy-in proposal by Senator Brian Schatz (D-HI) would allow persons to purchase a Medicaid public insurance option alongside other marketplace-based coverage using their own funds, or premium tax credits and CSRs if applicable. Reimbursement rates for physicians and other health care professionals would be set at Medicare levels (
97). This option would limit annual premiums for persons with incomes over 400% FPL at 9.5%, essentially eliminating the income eligibility cap for the premium tax credit. However, the appeal of Medicaid buy-in may be tempered because of political barriers (only Medicaid expansion states with low marketplace competition may be interested), hesitation among Medicaid managed care organizations to join the marketplace, and provider participation issues (
98).
The CBO has considered a public option established and administered by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (
99). Reimbursement rates for physicians and other providers would be 5% higher than Medicare rates and would increase incrementally over several years. Participation would be optional for physicians, hospitals, and others. Because provider reimbursement rates would be lower than those of commercial insurers, the CBO estimates that premiums would be up to 8% lower from 2016 to 2023 than those of private marketplace-based plans. Savings from administrative efficiencies and lower prescription drug prices also would be realized. Although premiums would be lower for some persons, the CBO estimates that lower reimbursements would diminish the quality of care delivered by providers. Further, the public option may attract higher-cost enrollees, leading to higher premiums to cover medical claims.
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