Background:
Epidemiologic data on the combined influence of several lifestyle factors on diabetes risk are rare, particularly among older adults.
Objective:
To examine how combinations of lifestyle risk factors relate to the 11-year risk for incident diabetes.
Design:
Population-based prospective cohort study.
Setting:
National Institutes of Health (NIH)–AARP Diet and Health Study.
Participants:
114 996 men and 92 483 women, aged 50 to 71 years in 1995 to 1996, without evidence of heart disease, cancer, or diabetes.
Measurements:
A comprehensive survey of demographic characteristics and lifestyle factors, including dietary intake, body weight and height, physical activity, smoking, and alcohol consumption at baseline (1995 to 1996). Low-risk groups were formed by dichotomizing each lifestyle factor. Incident self-reported, physician-diagnosed diabetes was identified with a follow-up survey in 2004 to 2006.
Results:
11 031 men (9.6%) and 6969 women (7.5%) developed new-onset diabetes. For each additional lifestyle factor in the low-risk group, the odds for diabetes were 31% lower (odds ratio [OR], 0.69 [95% CI, 0.68 to 0.71]) among men and 39% lower (OR, 0.61 [CI, 0.60 to 0.63]) among women. Men and women whose diet score, physical activity level, smoking status, and alcohol use were all in the low-risk group had ORs for diabetes of 0.61 (CI, 0.56 to 0.66) and 0.43 (CI, 0.34 to 0.55), respectively. When absence of overweight or obesity was added, the respective ORs were 0.28 (CI, 0.23 to 0.34) and 0.16 (CI, 0.10 to 0.24) for men and women. Results did not differ by family history of diabetes or level of adiposity.
Limitation:
The study was observational, with potential for residual confounding.
Conclusion:
Lifestyle factors, when considered in combination, are associated with a substantial reduction in risk for diabetes.
Primary Funding Source:
The NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH.
References
- 1. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2011 National Diabetes Fact Sheet: National Estimates and General Information on Diabetes and Prediabetes in the United States. Atlanta: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2011. Google Scholar
- 2.
Knowler WC ,Barrett-Connor E ,Fowler SE ,Hamman RF ,Lachin JM ,Walker EA ,et al ;Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group . Reduction in the incidence of type 2 diabetes with lifestyle intervention or metformin. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:393-403. [PMID:11832527 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 3.
Lynch J ,Helmrich SP ,Lakka TA ,Kaplan GA ,Cohen RD ,Salonen R ,et al . Moderately intense physical activities and high levels of cardiorespiratory fitness reduce the risk of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in middle-aged men. Arch Intern Med. 1996;156:1307-14. [PMID:8651839 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 4.
Manson JE ,Rimm EB ,Stampfer MJ ,Colditz GA ,Willett WC ,Krolewski AS ,et al . Physical activity and incidence of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in women. Lancet. 1991;338:774-8. [PMID:1681160 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 5.
Biggs ML ,Mukamal KJ ,Luchsinger JA ,Ix JH ,Carnethon MR ,Newman AB ,et al . Association between adiposity in midlife and older age and risk of diabetes in older adults. JAMA. 2010;303:2504-12. [PMID:20571017 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 6.
Schienkiewitz A ,Schulze MB ,Hoffmann K ,Kroke A ,Boeing H . Body mass index history and risk of type 2 diabetes: results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-Potsdam Study. Am J Clin Nutr. 2006;84:427-33. [PMID:16895894 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 7.
Hodge AM ,English DR ,O'Dea K ,Giles GG . Glycemic index and dietary fiber and the risk of type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care. 2004;27:2701-6. [PMID:15505008 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 8.
Salmerón J ,Hu FB ,Manson JE ,Stampfer MJ ,Colditz GA ,Rimm EB ,et al . Dietary fat intake and risk of type 2 diabetes in women. Am J Clin Nutr. 2001;73:1019-26. [PMID:11382654 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 9.
Nakanishi N ,Nakamura K ,Matsuo Y ,Suzuki K ,Tatara K . Cigarette smoking and risk for impaired fasting glucose and type 2 diabetes in middle-aged Japanese men. Ann Intern Med. 2000;133:183-91. [PMID:10906832 ] LinkGoogle Scholar - 10.
Rimm EB ,Manson JE ,Stampfer MJ ,Colditz GA ,Willett WC ,Rosner B ,et al . Cigarette smoking and the risk of diabetes in women. Am J Public Health. 1993;83:211-4. [PMID:8427325 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 11.
Ajani UA ,Hennekens CH ,Spelsberg A ,Manson JE . Alcohol consumption and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus among US male physicians. Arch Intern Med. 2000;160:1025-30. [PMID:10761969 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 12.
Wei M ,Gibbons LW ,Mitchell TL ,Kampert JB ,Blair SN . Alcohol intake and incidence of type 2 diabetes in men. Diabetes Care. 2000;23:18-22. [PMID:10857962 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 13.
Hu FB ,Manson JE ,Stampfer MJ ,Colditz G ,Liu S ,Solomon CG ,et al . Diet, lifestyle, and the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in women. N Engl J Med. 2001;345:790-7. [PMID:11556298 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 14.
Mozaffarian D ,Kamineni A ,Carnethon M ,Djoussé L ,Mukamal KJ ,Siscovick D . Lifestyle risk factors and new-onset diabetes mellitus in older adults: the cardiovascular health study. Arch Intern Med. 2009;169:798-807. [PMID:19398692 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 15.
Schatzkin A ,Subar AF ,Thompson FE ,Harlan LC ,Tangrea J ,Hollenbeck AR ,et al . Design and serendipity in establishing a large cohort with wide dietary intake distributions: the National Institutes of Health-American Association of Retired Persons Diet and Health Study. Am J Epidemiol. 2001;154:1119-25. [PMID:11744517 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 16.
Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences . Diet History Questionnaire (Old Version). Bethesda, MD: National Cancer Institute; 2010. Google Scholar - 17.
Thompson FE ,Kipnis V ,Midthune D ,Freedman LS ,Carroll RJ ,Subar AF ,et al . Performance of a food-frequency questionnaire in the US NIH-AARP (National Institutes of Health-American Association of Retired Persons) Diet and Health Study. Public Health Nutr. 2008;11:183-95. [PMID:17610761 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 18.
Subar AF ,Midthune D ,Kulldorff M ,Brown CC ,Thompson FE ,Kipnis V ,et al . Evaluation of alternative approaches to assign nutrient values to food groups in food frequency questionnaires. Am J Epidemiol. 2000;152:279-86. [PMID:10933275 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 19.
Willett WC . Nutritional Epidemiology. 2nd ed. (Monographs in Epidemiology and Biostatistics, vol. 30). New York: Oxford Univ Pr; 1998. Google Scholar - 20.
Stevens J ,Keil JE ,Waid LR ,Gazes PC . Accuracy of current, 4-year, and 28-year self-reported body weight in an elderly population. Am J Epidemiol. 1990;132:1156-63. [PMID:2260547 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 21. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and U.S. Department of Agriculture. Dietary Guidelines for Americans, 2005. 6th ed. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office; January 2005. Google Scholar
- 22.
Pate RR ,Pratt M ,Blair SN ,Haskell WL ,Macera CA ,Bouchard C ,et al . Physical activity and public health. A recommendation from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American College of Sports Medicine. JAMA. 1995;273:402-7. [PMID:7823386 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 23.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention . 2007 National Diabetes Fact Sheet: General Information and National Estimates on Diabetes in the United States. Atlanta: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2008. Google Scholar - 24.
Kiechl S ,Willeit J ,Poewe W ,Egger G ,Oberhollenzer F ,Muggeo M ,et al . Insulin sensitivity and regular alcohol consumption: large, prospective, cross sectional population study (Bruneck study). BMJ. 1996;313:1040-4. [PMID:8898593 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 25.
Lazarus R ,Sparrow D ,Weiss ST . Alcohol intake and insulin levels. The Normative Aging Study. Am J Epidemiol. 1997;145:909-16. [PMID:9149662 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 26.
Facchini F ,Chen YD ,Reaven GM . Light-to-moderate alcohol intake is associated with enhanced insulin sensitivity. Diabetes Care. 1994;17:115-9. [PMID:7907975 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 27.
Davies MJ ,Baer DJ ,Judd JT ,Brown ED ,Campbell WS ,Taylor PR . Effects of moderate alcohol intake on fasting insulin and glucose concentrations and insulin sensitivity in postmenopausal women: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 2002;287:2559-62. [PMID:12020337 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 28.
Imhof A ,Froehlich M ,Brenner H ,Boeing H ,Pepys MB ,Koenig W . Effect of alcohol consumption on systemic markers of inflammation. Lancet. 2001;357:763-7. [PMID:11253971 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 29.
Sierksma A ,van der Gaag MS ,Kluft C ,Hendriks HF . Moderate alcohol consumption reduces plasma C-reactive protein and fibrinogen levels; a randomized, diet-controlled intervention study. Eur J Clin Nutr. 2002;56:1130-6. [PMID:12428180 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 30.
Willi C ,Bodenmann P ,Ghali WA ,Faris PD ,Cornuz J . Active smoking and the risk of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA. 2007;298:2654-64. [PMID:18073361 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 31.
Yeh HC ,Duncan BB ,Schmidt MI ,Wang NY ,Brancati FL . Smoking, smoking cessation, and risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cohort study. Ann Intern Med. 2010;152:10-7. [PMID:20048267 ] LinkGoogle Scholar - 32.
Attvall S ,Fowelin J ,Lager I ,Von Schenck H ,Smith U . Smoking induces insulin resistance—a potential link with the insulin resistance syndrome. J Intern Med. 1993;233:327-32. [PMID:8463765 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 33.
Somm E ,Schwitzgebel VM ,Vauthay DM ,Camm EJ ,Chen CY ,Giacobino JP ,et al . Prenatal nicotine exposure alters early pancreatic islet and adipose tissue development with consequences on the control of body weight and glucose metabolism later in life. Endocrinology. 2008;149:6289-99. [PMID:18687784 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 34.
Asthana A ,Johnson HM ,Piper ME ,Fiore MC ,Baker TB ,Stein JH . Effects of smoking intensity and cessation on inflammatory markers in a large cohort of active smokers. Am Heart J. 2010;160:458-63. [PMID:20826253 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar - 35.
Barrett-Connor E ,Khaw KT . Cigarette smoking and increased central adiposity. Ann Intern Med. 1989;111:783-7. [PMID:2817625 ] LinkGoogle Scholar - 36.
Okura Y ,Urban LH ,Mahoney DW ,Jacobsen SJ ,Rodeheffer RJ . Agreement between self-report questionnaires and medical record data was substantial for diabetes, hypertension, myocardial infarction and stroke but not for heart failure. J Clin Epidemiol. 2004;57:1096-103. [PMID:15528061 ] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar
Author, Article and Disclosure Information
From the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, and National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland, and AARP, Washington, DC.
Grant Support: The NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH.
Disclosures: Disclosures can be viewed at www.acponline.org/authors/icmje/ConflictOfInterestForms.do?msNum=M11-0030.
Reproducible Research Statement:Study protocol: Available at dietandhealth.cancer.gov/. Statistical code: Not available. Data set: Available subject to NIH-AARP Steering Committee approval and NIH policy (e-mail, [email protected]
Corresponding Author: Jared P. Reis, PhD, Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, 6701 Rockledge Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892; e-mail, [email protected]
Current Author Addresses: Drs. Reis, Loria, and Sorlie: Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, 6701 Rockledge Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892.
Dr. Park: Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, 6120 Executive Boulevard, Rockville, MD 20852.
Dr. Hollenbeck: AARP, 601 E Street Northwest, Washington, DC 20049.
Author Contributions: Conception and design: J.P. Reis, P.D. Sorlie, Y. Park, A. Hollenbeck.
Analysis and interpretation of the data: J.P. Reis, C.M. Loria, Y. Park.
Drafting of the article: J.P. Reis.
Critical revision of the article for important intellectual content: J.P. Reis, C.M. Loria, P.D. Sorlie, Y. Park.
Final approval of the article: J.P. Reis, C.M. Loria, P.D. Sorlie, Y. Park, A. Hollenbeck.
Provision of study materials or patients: A. Hollenbeck.
Statistical expertise: J.P. Reis.
Administrative, technical, or logistic support: Y. Park, A. Hollenbeck.
Collection and assembly of data: Y. Park, A. Hollenbeck.
† Deceased.

Submit a Comment
Contributors must reveal any conflict of interest. Comments are moderated. Please see our information for authorsregarding comments on an Annals publication.
*All comments submitted after October 1, 2021 and selected for publication will be published online only.